Explore VST stock analysis with latest price, technicals, earnings, ratings, and forecast. Is VST stock a buy? Get balanced insights for investors on Vistra Corp (NYSE: VST).
Introduction
Vistra Corp (NYSE: VST) generates and sells electricity. It operates power plants and retail energy services across the U.S. Investors watch VST stock now due to strong 2025 earnings and AI data center demand. Broader market conditions favor utilities amid energy needs from tech growth.
VST stock leads peers in power generation. Energy transition boosts its nuclear and gas assets. This draws attention in a volatile market.
Latest Stock Price & Trend
VST stock closed at $167.78 on the last market day. It rose 2.18% in one day amid positive earnings buzz. Over five days, it fell 2.47%, showing short-term pullback.
The one-month trend dipped 1.05%. Three-month and six-month data reflect industry lag but year-to-date gains hold strong at around 46% from older baselines. Year-over-year, VST stock climbed 48.81%.
52-week high hit $219.82; low was $90.51. Overall trend stays bullish long-term despite recent sideways action. Investors see this as a healthy correction in a growth story.
Technical Analysis
Support levels sit near $160, where buyers stepped in recently. Resistance looms at $200, a prior high. Support shows where price may bounce; resistance caps upside until broken.
RSI at 63 signals neutral to buy zone, not overbought. RSI above 70 warns of overbought; below 30 means oversold. This reading suggests room to run.
MACD shows bullish crossover. MACD tracks momentum; positive line above signal indicates buying pressure. 50-day moving average hovers above 200-day, no death cross.
Volume trends up on earnings news. Higher volume confirms trends. These point to steady climb for beginners.
Analyst Ratings & Price Targets
15 analysts rate VST mostly Buy. Average target $212.53; high $293 from Scotiabank, low $82 old call. Recent upgrades include Jefferies to Buy at $203 on Feb 10, 2026.
Wells Fargo and UBS hold positive views. Scotiabank reiterated strong outlook. Sentiment leans bullish, signaling 27% upside potential. Investors use this for conviction but check own research.
Insider Activity
Insiders sold heavily last 24 months. James A Burke sold $130M worth; Scott A Hudson $32M. No recent buys noted.
Carrie Lee Kirby offloaded $21M shares. Trend shows management trimming holdings. This may signal caution or profit-taking, not panic. Watch for buybacks as confidence sign.
Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E at 31.96. Forward P/E lower on growth. Price-to-sales reflects $19.38B revenue.
YoY revenue grew strong; EPS $6.41 TTM. Free cash flow robust at $3.6B adjusted 2025. Debt managed; cash supports expansions.
Versus peers like NRG, VST trades premium but justified by growth. Stock looks fairly valued, not overdone.
Recent Earnings & Catalysts
Q4 2025 net income fell but full-year GAAP $944M. Adjusted EBITDA record $5.9B. Revenue beat expectations; EPS mixed due to hedges.
Guidance positive on data centers. Catalysts include acquisitions and Moss Landing recovery. Earnings dipped stock short-term but reaffirmed growth. Stock rebounded on call highlights.
Bullish Case
Data center demand drives revenue. Nuclear assets give edge in clean energy. EBITDA grew sharply.
Acquisitions expand capacity. Operational tweaks boost margins. These fuel realistic upside.
Bearish Case
Competition in power markets heats up. Q4 income drop shows volatility. Margin pressures from costs.
Regulatory risks in energy. Economic slowdown could cut demand. Churn in retail possible.
Market Sentiment & Investor Psychology
Short interest low. Institutional ownership high at 336M shares held by Vanguard, BlackRock. Trends stable.
Options favor calls lately. Retail piles in on momentum. Sentiment optimistic on AI tailwinds.
Short-Term Outlook
Technicals neutral with RSI room. Volume supports rebound. Momentum from earnings lingers.
Expect sideways to up next weeks barring market shocks. Watch $160 support.
Medium to Long-Term Outlook
Business model strong in generation. Industry grows with electrification. Competitive moat in nuclear.
Financials solid; $2.66B net income. Hold for long-term investors; accumulate on dips. Risks balanced by demand.
FAQ Section
Is VST stock a buy right now? Analysts say yes with Buy ratings, but assess risks.
What is the price target for VST stock? Average $212.53, up to $293.
What are major risks for VST stock? Earnings volatility, competition, regulations.
VST stock forecast? Bullish medium-term on energy demand.
VST earnings outlook? Strong guidance post-Q4.
Suggestions
Compare with Opendoor stock analysis
See our utilities sector forecast
Read our AI energy demand breakdown
Final Balanced Conclusion
Hold VST stock. Growth drivers outweigh risks, but recent sales and dips warrant caution. Long-term potential strong for patient investors.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.