Discover RUN stock analysis: latest Sunrun price, earnings, technicals, valuation, and forecast. Is RUN stock a buy? Get balanced insights for investors.
Introduction
Sunrun Inc. leads in residential solar energy. It installs solar panels and batteries for homes. Customers subscribe for power without upfront costs.
Investors watch RUN stock closely now. Recent Q4 earnings showed revenue growth but stock dropped sharply. Broader market shifts in solar demand and interest rates affect tech stocks like this.
RUN stock price reflects solar sector volatility amid policy changes.
Latest Stock Price & Trend
RUN stock closed at $12.77 on February 27, 2026, after a volatile day. It fell 36.1% that day due to earnings concerns. The 52-week range spans $5.38 to $22.44.
Year-to-date in 2026, RUN stock shows early losses from a high around $20. Over one month, it trended down amid sector pressures. Three-month and six-month trends were mixed, with gains earlier but recent pullback.
Trading volume spiked to millions, signaling high interest. Overall, the trend leans bearish short-term. This warns investors of downside risks after hype faded.
Technical Analysis
Support levels sit near $11.00, based on recent lows. Resistance looms at $19-20 from prior highs. Support holds price floors; breaks signal sells.
RSI at 51 is neutral, not overbought or oversold. It measures momentum; above 70 sells, below 30 buys.
MACD shows a buy signal at 0.2, hinting bullish crossover. This tracks trend changes via averages.
The 50-day moving average exceeds the 200-day, no death cross yet. Moving averages smooth prices; 50-day over 200-day is bullish.
Volume trends up on down days, bearish clue. These indicators suggest caution for beginners.
Analyst Ratings & Price Targets
Of 17-24 analysts, most rate RUN stock Buy. Average target is $21-22.79, high $26-38, low $14-15.89.
UBS set $26 recently. No major upgrades lately; sentiment steady.
Wall Street sees upside potential despite risks. This implies moderate optimism for RUN stock forecast.
Insider Activity
Insiders sold far more than bought since 2015: $2B sales vs $287M buys. Recent data shows ongoing sales, few purchases.
Large transactions favor selling by executives. This trend signals caution, not strong confidence from management.
Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E is negative at -1.83 due to losses. Forward P/E unavailable amid uncertainty.
Price-to-sales implied low with $2.32B TTM revenue, $4.66B market cap. Revenue grew 45% YoY to $2.96B in 2025.
EPS deeply negative at -10.85 TTM. Free cash flow negative, worsening lately. Debt high at $14.63B, cash $709M.
Compared to peers like Zoom or solar rivals, RUN appears undervalued on sales but risky on debt. Overall, fairly valued with caution.
Recent Earnings & Catalysts
Q4 2025 revenue hit $1.16B, up 124% YoY, beating some views via asset sales. Full-year $2.96B, +45%.
EPS positive at $0.06 in Q3 prior, but Q4 concerns hit stock. Guidance: $250-450M cash gen in 2026.
Catalysts include storage growth (71% attachment) and partnerships. Earnings drove initial gains but post-report selloff.
Bullish Case
Revenue catalysts from subscriber adds (108K in 2025). Solar demand rises with energy costs.
Tech edges in batteries boost margins. Cash gen $377M shows ops strength.
Bearish Case
Competition from larger solar players intense. Growth slowed in subscribers.
Margin pressures from high debt, interest $266M Q3. Regulatory shifts risk policy support. Cash burn rose $3B Q4.
Market Sentiment
Short interest 25-26% of float, high at 57M shares. Days to cover 4-9.
Institutional ownership strong, but retail mixed post-drop. Options lean puts amid fear.
Sentiment fearful after earnings plunge.
Short-Term Outlook
Technicals neutral RSI, high volume down days point lower. Momentum bearish.
Expect volatility next weeks; watch support at $11.
Medium to Long-Term Outlook
Solid model in growing solar. Industry expands with green push.
Competitive moat in installs, but debt weighs. Financial health improving via cash gen.
Long-term investors should watch; hold if owned, accumulate on dips if bullish solar.
FAQ
Is RUN stock a buy right now? Analysts say Buy, but recent drop adds risk. Weigh valuation vs volatility.
What is the price target for RUN stock? Average $21-23, implying upside from $12.77.
What are major risks for RUN stock? High debt, short interest, slowing growth.
RUN stock forecast? Short-term cautious, long-term tied to solar rebound.
What is RUN earnings latest? Q4 revenue $1.16B, cash gen strong.
Suggestions
Compare with Opendoor
See our solar sector valuation breakdown.
Read Enphase stock forecast.
Final Balanced Conclusion
Watchlist RUN stock. Valuation attractive, growth potential real, but debt and sentiment risks high. Hold for recovery signs.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.