RUN stock crash analysis: -35% drop, Q4 rev double, 2026 cash guide, valuation. Is RUN stock a buy post-selloff? March 2 data.
Introduction
Sunrun leases solar panels, batteries for homes. RUN stock tumbles on big drop amid solar rebound hopes. Renewables eye IRA boost, rates.[code_file:RUN_quotes_973df1.csv]
RUN stock price craters.
Latest Stock Price & Trend
RUN $13.25, down 35.11% ($7.17). Day high $18.74, low $12.48; volume 39M spikes 4x avg 8M.[code_file:RUN_quotes_973df1.csv]
YTD +30% from $10; 52-week $5-$22. Volatile rebound snapped bearish.
Panic sell probes bottom.[code_file:RUN_price_history_2025-01-01_2025-07-16_1day_cd0858.csv]
Technical Analysis
Support $12, $10 floor. Resistance $15, $18 overhead.
RSI oversold extreme. MACD rolls over.
50-day above 200-day golden. Volume explosion capitulation.
Reversal setup.
Analyst Ratings & Price Targets
Hold tilt. Avg $18; high $25, low $12.
Margin bets. Steady.
Insider Activity
Fenster Feb vest $2.7M sale routine.[code_file:RUN_insider_transactions.csv]
Consistent.
Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E -1.17; EPS -$11.33.[code_file:RUN_quotes_973df1.csv] P/S low.
Q4 rev $1.16B +123%. FY26 cash $250-450M.
Debt paydown. Undervalued vs. peers Enphase.
Recent Earnings & Catalysts
Q4 2025 rev $1.16B smash est; EPS $0.38 beat.
2026 cash $250-450M. Catalysts: storage 71%, DPP 1.5GWh, HASI JV.
Muted -0.35% react till crash.
Bullish Case
Cash inflection $377M FY25. Subscriber steady.
Storage attach 71%. Grid revenue millions.
Bearish Case
Affiliate cuts volume dip. Tariffs bite.
Losses linger. Rates hurt financing.
Market Sentiment & Investor Psychology
Institutions firm: BlackRock 40M.[code_file:RUN_institutional_holders.csv]
Fear spikes.
Short-Term Outlook
Oversold bounce likely. Stabilize.
Medium to Long-Term Outlook
Solar storage edge. Watch recovery.
FAQ
Is RUN Stock a Buy Right Now?
Value post-crash.
What Is the Price Target for RUN Stock?
$18 avg.
What Are Major Risks for RUN Stock?
Policy shifts.
RUN Earnings Outlook?
Suggestions
Compare with Opendoor
See solar forecast.
Read renewables valuation.
Final Balanced Conclusion
Watchlist. Cash pivot vs. volume risk.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.