RIVN stock price $15.61 close, after-hours $15.33 down 1.79%. Q4 rev $1.29B miss $1.41B, EPS -$0.66 beat -$0.69. Is RIVN stock a buy? Avg target $15, VW JV catalyst. 2026 deliveries 62K-67K.
Introduction
Rivian (RIVN stock) builds electric trucks, SUVs like R1T/R1S. Focus on VW JV, R2 launch amid EV slowdown. Auto sector faces tariffs, demand shift.
RIVN stock trades volatile on deliveries, cash burn.
Latest Stock Price & Trend
RIVN closed $15.61, after-hours $15.33 down 1.79% -$0.28. Volume 26M vs avg 37M. Day low $14.91 high $15.54. 52-week $10.36-$22.69.
1-day -1.79%, 5-day 0%, 1-month -10%. 3-month +18%, 6-month -8%, YTD -4%. Sideways trend signals caution for investors.
Technical Analysis
Support $14-15 key floor. Resistance $16-17 ceiling. RSI 37 oversold, rebound possible. MACD neutral.
50-day MA $14.15 below price; 200-day $12.54 golden cross bullish. Volume increasing adds interest.
Analyst Ratings & Price Targets
Ratings mixed: Hold consensus. Avg $15, range varies. VW optimism offset by cuts. Neutral sentiment weighs on investors.
Insider Activity
Scaringe sold 35K Feb $16.80 routine. Awards, in-kind common. Balanced activity shows no alarm.
Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E -4.99, EPS -$3.07. Forward negative. P/S ~2.5 est. Rev Q4 $1.29B -6% YoY. Cash $6.1B Q4, no debt.
Peers TSLA P/E 241, LCID -0.95 similar loss. RIVN fairly valued growth EV play.
Recent Earnings & Catalysts
Q4 rev $1.29B miss $1.41B, EPS -$0.66 beat -$0.69. Gross profit $120M 9%. Guide 2026 deliveries 62-67K, EBITDA loss $1.8-2.1B. Stock flat post-earn.
VW $2B more 2026, R2 Q2 2026.
Bullish Case
R2 $45K mass market, deliveries ramp. VW JV $3.5B liquidity. Gross profit positive FY25.
Bearish Case
Tariffs $2K/unit, reg credits cut $160M. Deliveries lowered 40-46K 2025. Cash burn $950M/quarter.
Market Sentiment & Investor Psychology
Amazon 158M shares top holder. Shorts moderate. Neutral on EV headwinds.
Short-Term Outlook
Oversold RSI, steady volume. Range-bound likely.
Medium to Long-Term Outlook
R2 scale key, VW aids. Accumulate if EV rebounds.
FAQ Section
Is RIVN stock a buy right now? Hold, watch R2 deliveries.
What is the price target for RIVN stock? $15 average.
What are major risks for RIVN stock? Tariffs, burn rate.
RIVN forecast? 2026 62-67K deliveries.
RIVN technical analysis? Oversold RSI 37.
Suggestions
Compare with Opendoor
See LCID forecast.
Read EV sector valuation.
Final Balanced Conclusion
Hold RIVN stock. VW/R2 upside vs cash burn risks balance view.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.